NFL Soup|Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Fantasy Football High Risk vs High Reward | Week 3 

Fantasy Football

In week two of High Risk vs High Reward we featured names like Andrew Luck and Matt Cassel which paid off.

The Redskins defense also paid off against the Rams, scoring eight fantasy points, while Kyle Rudolph managed nine points as well.

Week three offers several more intriguing options for fantasy owners, as we break down some of the riskiest fantasy options that could pay off.

Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, Buffalo Bills

Fitzpatrick has just struggled to play up to the potential that his contract implies that he is worth since signing it.

But this week against a Cleveland Browns secondary lacking Joe Haden, Fitzpatrick could have a field day and has the potential to put up 20+ points.

It’s all about which Browns defense comes to play, but I’m guessing that the one that showed up against the Cincinnati Bengals in week two is the more accurate depiction, making Ryan a very formidable fantasy start in week three.

Josh Freeman, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Freeman has looked like a mixture of 2011 and 2010 Josh Freeman, but he could have a solid game against a still suspect Cowboys pass defense.

Dallas ranks 19th against the pass so far in two games, and the Buccaneers defense will likely give Freeman a reason to continue to throw the football for four quarters.

I have Freeman has a fringe QB1 in this week’s match-up.

Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Charles has just 22 carries in two games, and nine fantasy points on the season. He’s still averaging a respectable 4.1 yards per carry, but getting into the end zone is our concern.

Still, Charles gets to face the leagues worst defense in the New Orleans Saints who just look absolutely dreadful.

Charles was drafted in the first and second rounds in most leagues, but he still comes with a risk. I still wouldn’t hesitate to put him as a RB2 this week.

Mikel LeShoure, RB, Detroit Lions

The risk here is that we just do not know what kind of touches to expect LeShoure to get. The good news is that he is more likely to be in on goal line situations if they present, than any other back.

LeShoure is coming off of a suspension, but the Lions really like what he brings to the table.

He’s a risky Flex play this week, but it could pay off if he gets the opportunities he deserves.

Daryl Richardson, RB, St. Louis Rams

Starter Steven Jackson is bothered by a groin injury that forced Richardson into the lineup a week ago against the Redskins.

Jackson is a game-time decision and did not practice Friday which suggests that Richardson could see a solid amount of touches.

The biggest issue here is that he goes up against a tough Bears rush defense that is quite stingy to opposing rushers.

Wes Welker, WR, New England Patriots

It’s hard to view Welker as a “risk”, but considering he is behind Julian Edelman on the depth chart, there’s no telling just how many snaps he will get.

I maintain that Welker will finish a top 15 receiver, however, and with Aaron Hernandez out, Tom Brady will have no option than to find Welker in the slot.

Look for Welker to be a go-to guy this week as Tom Brady will have to get rid of the ball quickly against a tough Baltimore Ravens pass rush.

Andrew Hawkins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

Hawkins has shown play making ability already in two weeks, but he is quite far away from being an every week starter.

Still, against a Redskins pass defense that has many improvements to make, I’ll take a risk on Hawkins who only needs a few catches to make plays in the open field that can turn into big gains.

Donald Jones, WR, Buffalo Bills

With David Nelson on the IR, the Bills will turn to Jones as the second receiver.

As mentioned above, the Browns are without Joe Haden due to suspension and have been giving up plenty of real estate to opposing receivers.

If Ryan Fitzpatrick can have a big day, then I expect Jones to be a healthy part of it.

Coby Fleener, TE, Indianapolis Colts

Fleener is not an every week fantasy start, but his potential makes me believe that he can produce this week.

So long as Andrew Luck is throwing the football, he will find his tight ends, especially against the Jaguars who have linebackers that struggle in coverage.

Fleener is a mismatch waiting to happen on Sunday, which Andrew Luck could take advantage of.

St. Louis Rams Defense

This is a very risky start considering the Rams defense has kept them from really sealing the deal on wins.

Their pass defense should have limited issues with Jay Cutler throwing the football, and I could see a few turnovers coming.

The big question is whether or not they can stop Michael Bush from running the ball down their throats. If they can keep Bush from having a big day, the Rams are a big time sleeper this week.

Miami Dolphins Defense

The Dolphins defense struggled against the pass in week two against the Raiders, but they get a New York Jets offense that is not as good as their week one performance made them out to be.

Mark Sanchez is bound to turn the ball over, and Shonn Greene is no sure thing running the football, while Bilal Powell has shown flashes spelling him.

This defense could surprise a few people this week, making them a very risky start that could pay off for owners.

About the author: Keet Bailey

Keet Bailey heads the NFL Draft division of NFL Soup. Bailey’s 2012 NFL Mock Draft scored 12th overall among 112 participants according to The Huddle Report’s Annual Mock Draft scoring contest. An avid Cleveland Browns fan, Keet hails from and resides in Ohio. Follow Keet on Twitter @NFLSoupKeet

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