NFL Soup|Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Week 4 Fantasy Football Risk vs. Reward 

Marques Colston 2011

Fantasy football commenced in week four with the Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns facing off in Thursday Night Football.

The game was much more entertaining than originally expected to be, but there are still 14 other games to be played this week.

In week three we highlighted risky options such as Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jamaal Charles, Mikel LeShoure, and the Dolphins defenses, all of which had very respectable days.

Here are week four’s biggest risks that could payoff if you plug them into your fantasy lineup:

Blaine Gabbert, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars

Gabbert is far from being a QB1 at any point during the season, but he is improving in some aspects. He has faced two pretty poor secondaries in his first three games, and has taken advantage of the match-ups.

He gets another poor pass defense that was carved up by rookie Brandon Weeden in week two in the Bengals.

Cincinnati’s entire defense is playing quite poorly, and with Maurice Jones-Drew likely to have a big day, it really could open things up for Gabbert to take advantage of the weak safeties, and potential missing of Leon Hall this week.

If Hall doesn’t play for Cincinnati, Gabbert is a solid QB2 this week with QB1 potential.

Carson Palmer, QB, Oakland Raiders

Palmer has been a formidable fantasy starter this season scoring 17, 16, and 18 points respectively. If it weren’t for turnovers, he could be a top five option, despite being ranked seven currently.

The risk with Palmer is, of course, turnovers as well as the fact that Brandon Myers and Darrius Heyward-Bey are both likely out of this game.

Palmer will have to get the ball to Rod Streater and Denarius Moore quite a bit this week to be successful against a weak Denver secondary that has yet to stop anybody.

Michael Turner, RB, Atlanta Falcons

Turner has scored a touchdown in each of his last two games, but has yet to carry the ball more than 17 times, or rush for even 85 yards.

The high powered passing attack in Atlanta has kept Turner from being effective, as well as the fact that he simply seems to have run out of gas.

However, going up against the Panthers rush defense who gets torn apart week in and week out seems to be an excellent time to get Turner in this week, as he could have his first 100 yard performance of the season if he can get 20 carries.

Cedric Benson, RB, Green Bay Packers

Benson has been a reasonable fantasy rusher in the last two weeks, tallying 11 fantasy points in each of his last two outings despite facing very good rush defenses.

He gets a very favorable match-up against New Orleans this week, as they have the 27th ranked rush defense in the league.

What New Orleans is doing defensively surely isn’t pretty, and it was made quite clear against Seattle that the Packers need to run the ball to help out Aaron Rodgers.

Ryan Mathews, RB, San Diego Chargers

Mathews getting back in action in week three was encouraging, as he rushed for 44 yards on just 10 carries, and caught another five passes for 32 yards.

But he did fumble, and it’s a problem that has to stop if the Chargers want to win football games.

The match-up is favorable against a Kansas City rush defense that is 26th in the league, but I’m not so sure that the Chiefs defense will continue to play poorly so long as Romeo Crennel is coaching.

There is more reward than risk here, but if he does fumble again, he could be in the dog house.

Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints

Colston has been a bit disappointing so far this year as he used to be a top 10 fantasy wide receiver.

However, Colston has a good track record against the Packers and Green Bay’s secondary is still struggling with consistency.

Having Drew Brees throwing the football to him is always a plus, and it’s only a matter of time before he breaks out and starts getting seven and eight receptions per game again.

Jerome Simpson, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Simpson’s suspension is over and he is walking into an offensive lineup that has impressed with the play of Christian Ponder.

Ponder has been doing a nice job of completing the short-intermediate passes, and having another speedy guy that can go across the middle, while also stretching the field, is a big plus.

Simpson has play making ability if utilized properly and there will be a time where he breaks out. Against a Detroit defense that can’t seem to stop anybody, Simpson could be a very solid WR3.

Dustin Keller, TE, New York Jets

The San Francisco 49ers defense has struggled a bit against opposing tight ends, and Mark Sanchez will likely be forced to rely on Keller a bit more this week.

Santonio Holmes will likely have a rough game matched up against Carlos Rogers, and despite the athletic linebackers in San Francisco, I can see Keller coming out with a few catches over the middle and possibly even a touchdown.

The risk is high, but there is reward to be had if the 49ers play like they did in week three.

St. Louis Rams Defense

The Rams defense is another nice sleeper this week facing rookie quarterback Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks.

The key will be shutting down Marshawn Lynch, which is unlikely, but the rest of the offense should be a piece of cake. Wilson does not have receivers talented enough to get consistent separation off of Janoris Jenkins and Cortland Finnegan, and the pass rush of St. Louis could force some mistakes.

I’m seeing a low scoring NFC West match-up happening, with St. Louis being a solid play this week.

New England Patriots Defense

The Patriots defense is still young and inexperienced, but they are getting better.

The good news is that they get to face the turnover prone Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Fitzpatrick is likely to throw the ball a bit more if the running game can’t get going.

The bad news is that Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller could be back for this one, despite having injuries that appeared more serious at first look.

I’m not so sure that Chan Gailey will risk getting both backs in, so I can still see Tashard Choice getting a fair amount of carries. If that’s the case, the Patriots defense could be a solid surprise this week.

About the author: Keet Bailey

Keet Bailey heads the NFL Draft division of NFL Soup. Bailey’s 2012 NFL Mock Draft scored 12th overall among 112 participants according to The Huddle Report’s Annual Mock Draft scoring contest. An avid Cleveland Browns fan, Keet hails from and resides in Ohio. Follow Keet on Twitter @NFLSoupKeet

8 Responses to Week 4 Fantasy Football Risk vs. Reward

  1. adela

    Howdy, i read your website occasionally and i own much the same one and i ended up being just wondering in case you get a lot of spam feedback? If so how will you prevent that, any plugin or what you can suggest? I get much lately its driving me mad consequently any assistance is quite much treasured.

  2. Velvet Aleff

    A lot of thanks for all of your hard work on this website. Kim loves carrying out investigation and it is easy to understand why. Most of us know all regarding the compelling tactic you make practical things by means of your web blog and increase contribution from other ones about this content plus our favorite daughter is undoubtedly studying a lot. Take pleasure in the rest of the new year. You are always doing a stunning job.

  3. george bernard shaw 2008 writer series limited edition rollerbal

    Another thing I’ve really noticed is the fact that for many people, less-than-perfect credit is the reaction to circumstances outside of their control. Such as they may happen to be saddled with an illness and as a consequence they have excessive bills going to collections. It may be due to a occupation loss or the inability to do the job. Sometimes breakup can send the budget in the wrong direction. Thank you for sharing your ideas on this blog site.

  4. nguyen ly ke toan

    […]check below, are some totally unrelated internet sites to ours, on the other hand, they may be most trustworthy sources that we use[…]

  5. Jeff Sherman

    Good – I should definitely pronounce, impressed with your site. I had no trouble navigating through all the tabs and related info ended up being truly simple to do to access. I recently found what I hoped for before you know it at all. Quite unusual. Is likely to appreciate it for those who add forums or something, site theme . a tones way for your customer to communicate. Nice task..

  6. internetowe konto bankowe

    Good post here. One thing I would really like to say is the fact that most professional areas consider the Bachelor’s Degree like thejust like the entry level standard for an online education. Although Associate College diplomas are a great way to start out, completing your Bachelors uncovers many opportunities to various employment goodies, there are numerous on-line Bachelor Course Programs available from institutions like The University of Phoenix, Intercontinental University Online and Kaplan. Another issue is that many brick and mortar institutions provide Online variations of their degree programs but typically for a extensively higher cost than the institutions that specialize in online qualification programs.

  7. Josh Goodnight

    “I have not checked in here for some time since I thought it was getting boring, but the last several posts are good quality so I guess I will add you back to my everyday bloglist. You deserve it my friend”


Add a Comment