Week One Fantasy Football: High Risk vs. High Reward
If you remember from past seasons, when it comes to fantasy football, I am a risk taker.
I am the team you play that starts a no-name running back off the waiver wire against you in hopes that I have found the next big name.
Being the risk taker that I am, I feel it appropriate to give you some big time risk vs. reward options for week one of the 2012 NFL Season.
Josh Freeman, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The thing that Tampa Bay fans and Freeman owners want to know is which Freeman will we see for 2012? Will we see the efficient, play maker that we saw in 2010, or the turnover machine that we saw in 2011.
Freeman opens up at home against the Carolina Panthers who’s defense was quite poor in 2011. However, Carolina has made improvements, but are those improvements good enough to shut down Vincent Jackson and Dallas Clark to prevent Freeman from making plays?
I think Freeman goes for around 15-20 fantasy points this week and redeems himself as a solid QB2 and potential QB1.
Jake Locker, QB, Tennessee Titans
One of my favorite sleepers for 2011, Jake Locker gets the start against the Patriots, comfortably at home. Remember the Patriots defense was one of the worst in the NFL last season, giving up a ton of yardage per game.
With an improved pass rush, the Patriots should fare better, but their defense is still young and prone to big plays. I can see Locker getting comfortable handing the ball off to Chris Johnson, and then making a few plays on his own.
Not to mention, his scrambling ability always makes him open for a rushing touchdown or two.
Robert Turbin, RB, Seattle Seahawks
If Marshawn Lynch starts, Turbin is a Flex in deep leagues, but if Lynch (back spasms) sits, then Turbin could see between 20-25 touches and be a RB2 this week.
I’m a huge Turbin fan and I think he’s the next stud rusher in the NFL, and if he gets a chance, he could make those who handcuffed Marshawn Lynch very happy against a mediocre Cardinals rush defense.
Frank Gore, RB, San Francisco 49ers
It’s early in the season and Frank Gore is healthy. A healthy Frank Gore scores points, especially against a Packers rush defense that still has plenty of work to do.
Gore may not see the 25-30 touches he used to, but 15-20 carries isn’t out of the question and he’s a good bet to make the most of them in week one.
Mike Tolbert, RB, Carolina Panthers
I have a feeling that Jonathan Stewart will sit in this game, giving Mike Tolbert backup duties behind DeAngelo Williams.
Tolbert was very efficient in the red zone in the last two seasons and could offer up as a Flex play more likely getting goal line opportunities over Williams.
LeGarrette Blount, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I’m still not sold on the Carolina rush defense, and while I think that Doug Martin is going to see 85% of the touches, Blount’s value in the goal line against what likely will still be a mediocre at best rush defense is pretty solid.
I don’t see Blount getting more than 10 touches, but the goal line ones are what count and he has potential to get those still.
Kendall Wright, WR, Tennessee Titans
With a one game suspension to Kenny Britt, I like Kendall Wright this week to surprise a few people. The Patriots cornerbacks are improving, and they could limit Wright, but all he needs is one or two big plays.
With the plays that Wright and Jake Locker were able to make in the preseason and in training camp, I expect these two to get along just fine.
Antonio Brown WR, Pittsburgh Steelers
Brown wants to be the new Mike Wallace, and while Mike Wallace is special down the field, Brown is going to be a play maker between the hash marks, making plays after the catch.
Wallace, Brown and Emmanuel Sanders will spread the field for Big Ben, and I think against a weak Denver secondary, Roethlisberger could have a strong day, with Brown included.
Buffalo Bills Defense
Let’s face it, this defense looks like it could be much improved with the additions of Mario Williams and Stephon Gilmore. We know that the Jets offense just doesn’t score points.
This game could honestly play out 13-10 with the ability of both of these defenses. I’m taking the risk this week.
Seattle Seahawks Defense
Seattle’s defense is highly underrated, and they have defensive play makers. Red Bryant is healthy, which means Beanie Wells and Ryan Williams will need more than just luck to move the ball on the ground.
John Skelton is unproven, and not really a guy that the Seahawks should fear to put up big points, despite having Larry Fitzgerald.
I see struggles for the Cardinals offense in 2012, and the Seahawks will start it off despite being on the road.
Keet Bailey heads the NFL Draft division of NFL Soup. Bailey’s 2012 NFL Mock Draft scored 12th overall among 112 participants according to The Huddle Report’s Annual Mock Draft scoring contest. An avid Cleveland Browns fan, Keet hails from and resides in Ohio. Follow Keet on Twitter @NFLSoupKeet